Page 1 of 1

how do you calculate the expected goals?

PostPosted: Fri May 10, 2019 11:55 pm
by jake
hello everyone
i am struggling to figure out how to calculate the expected goals of the home and away teams seperatly

what do i do?
should i calculate the average of scored goals only or to add the conceded goals as well and find the average?
what sample is more accurate?overall or past 5 games?


thanks in advanced

Re: how do you calculate the expected goals?

PostPosted: Sun May 12, 2019 2:24 pm
by superted
Check this site does the main leagues
https://understat.com

BTW I had to disable my adblocker to get full info but nothing intrusive on the site

Re: how do you calculate the expected goals?

PostPosted: Fri May 31, 2019 10:57 am
by jake
superted wrote:Check this site does the main leagues
https://understat.com

BTW I had to disable my adblocker to get full info but nothing intrusive on the site



thanks mate
i was aware of this site

the question is how to calculate them Xg so i can use Poisson distribution on every match