how do you calculate the expected goals?

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how do you calculate the expected goals?

Postby jake » Fri May 10, 2019 11:55 pm

hello everyone
i am struggling to figure out how to calculate the expected goals of the home and away teams seperatly

what do i do?
should i calculate the average of scored goals only or to add the conceded goals as well and find the average?
what sample is more accurate?overall or past 5 games?


thanks in advanced

jake
 
Posts: 2
Joined: Fri May 10, 2019 11:51 pm

Re: how do you calculate the expected goals?

Postby superted » Sun May 12, 2019 2:24 pm

Check this site does the main leagues
https://understat.com

BTW I had to disable my adblocker to get full info but nothing intrusive on the site

superted
 
Posts: 76
Joined: Wed Jan 28, 2015 7:37 pm

Re: how do you calculate the expected goals?

Postby jake » Fri May 31, 2019 10:57 am

superted wrote:Check this site does the main leagues
https://understat.com

BTW I had to disable my adblocker to get full info but nothing intrusive on the site



thanks mate
i was aware of this site

the question is how to calculate them Xg so i can use Poisson distribution on every match

jake
 
Posts: 2
Joined: Fri May 10, 2019 11:51 pm


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